The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League Round of 16 between Lille (France) and Borussia Dortmund (Germany) will take place on March 12 at the Pierre Mauroy Stadium. The first match ended in a 1-1 draw. Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lille
Bruno Genesio's side played out a 1-1 draw with Dortmund in the first match. This draw was the team's first in their last five Champions League matches (3 wins, 1 loss). Interestingly, both teams have scored in all these games. Lille's overall scoring streak in the Champions League now stands at eight matches. Notably, the French team has never advanced past the Round of 16 in this tournament, having lost the first leg on both previous occasions at this stage.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Lille's last 7 Champions League games.
- The club is unbeaten at home in their last 6 Champions League matches (5 wins, 1 draw).
- In 5 of their last 6 home matches in this tournament, the French team has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Lille (4-4-2)
Lucas Chevalier – Ismaily, Alessandro, Bafode Diakite, Thomas Meunier – Ngalayel Mukau, Ayoub Bouaddi, Benjamin Andre, Mitchel Bakker – Jonathan David, Hakon Haraldsson.
Forward Edon Zhegrova and defenders Samuel Umtiti and Tiago Santos will miss the match due to injuries.
Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund opened the scoring in the previous match but failed to secure a win for the third time in this Champions League campaign after taking the lead. Nevertheless, the team's unbeaten run in the Champions League has reached four matches (2 wins, 2 draws). The question of advancing to the next round remains open, but it is worth noting that Borussia has successfully overcome the Round of 16 barrier in two of the last three occasions in this tournament. Additionally, the club shares third place with Bayern in terms of scoring in the current Champions League season.
- The Germans have scored in 10 of their last 11 matches in this European competition.
- Dortmund has not drawn in their last 7 away Champions League matches (4 wins, 3 losses).
- In their last six away games in the Champions League, Borussia has scored first.
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (4-5-1)
Gregor Kobel – Julian Ryerson, Nico Schlotterbeck, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini – Karim Adeyemi, Marcel Sabitzer, Julian Brandt, Pascal Gross, Emre Can – Serhou Guirassy.
Midfielder Felix Nmecha and defender Daniel Svensson are injured.
Referee
Sandro Scherer (Switzerland)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 20%.
Match Prediction for Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund
The French team can take credit for the first match, although Lille's overall away performance in the Champions League is not impressive. However, Bruno Genesio's side is capable of much at home, remaining unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 matches in this tournament (6 wins, 3 draws). In the current Champions League season, even clubs like Real Madrid (1-0) and Juventus (1-1) struggled at the Pierre Mauroy Stadium. Over nearly a year, the French team has only two losses in 20 official home matches.
Lille's issues are generally related to their defense. The team has conceded in 7 consecutive Champions League matches but has also scored in 8 consecutive games in this tournament. Dortmund can capitalize on defensive errors, having scored in 10 of their 11 Champions League games, and Borussia boasts a 10-match scoring streak away from home.
A loss for the hosts seems unlikely. However, a potential draw is not expected to be low-scoring. My prediction: Lille not to lose and Total Over 1.5
